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Below is the probability ranking for the Milan Cortina 2026 Winter Olympic Games as of 11:30  PM CET
(Milan time), February 15 2026.
 

Note: There are a total of 92 countries ("NOCs") competing in Milan, plus Athlètes Individuels Neutres (“AIN") comprising approved athletes from Russia and Belarus, with total population of 6.090 billion.
Of these,  47 have won at least one medal in previous or current Winter Olympic competition, and have a total population of 3.535 billion (this includes Brazil which won its first Winter Olympics Medal in Milan on February 14, 2026)

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© 2021 Andrew Parece & Robert C. Duncan

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