Below is the FINAL probability ranking for the Milan Cortina 2026 Winter Olympic Games as of 5:30  PM CET
(Milan time), February 22, 2026.  
 

There were a total of 92 countries ("NOCs") competing in Milan, plus Athlètes Individuels Neutres (“AIN") comprising approved athletes from Russia and Belarus, with total population of 6.090 billion.
Of these,  47 have won at least one medal in previous or current Winter Olympic competition, and have a total population of 3.535 billion (this includes Brazil which won its first Winter Olympics Medal in Milan on February 14, 2026).

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Note: The column labeled "Medals Behind Leader" does not increase in a simple additive way with higher ranks because these numbers depend upon national populations, not just upon differences in medal counts.

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